Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Friday, August 3, 2018, 7:10 pm ET


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This is a reasonable price on the Mets behind Jacob deGrom, who’s been absolutely dominant at home this season. Batters are hitting .188 against him at Citi Field. Back deGrom to cool off the Braves while New York gets to Anibal Sanchez. The 34-year-old gave up four runs, including two homers, in four innings in his only start against the Mets this season. Lay it.

SportsLine Expert: Larry Hartstein (88-65 in last 153 MLB ML picks)

Steve Pearce #25 of the Boston Red Sox reacts as he rounds first base after hitting a three-run home run in the fourth inning of a game against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on August 2, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts.

Steve Pearce (Photo Credit: Adam Glanzman/Getty Images)

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Friday, August 3, 2018, 7:10 pm ET


My data sees the Red Sox defeating the Yankees in more than half of simulations for their Friday meeting, providing a must-play on the home underdog. Boston is on a 6-1 run in starts by Rick Porcello, and has won four straight home games against winning teams. The Yankees are 3-8 in the last 11 Friday outings from starter Luis Severino.

SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (128-99 in last 227 MLB picks)

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Friday, August 3, 2018, 8:10 pm ET

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My numbers see the Twins knocking off the Royals in a whopping 75 percent of simulations for their Friday meeting, by an average margin of nearly two runs. This lopsided projection make Minnesota worth laying the price. The Twins are on a 7-1 home spurt against losing teams, while the Royals are 8-19 in their past 27 road contests.

SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (128-99 in last 227 MLB picks)

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Nolan Arenado #28 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates after hitting a grand slam against the St. Louis Cardinals in the fifth inning at Busch Stadium on July 30, 2018 in St. Louis, Missouri.

Nolan Arenado (Photo Credit: Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Friday, August 3, 2018, 8:10 pm ET


The trusty projection model likes the Brewers to take down the Rockies more than 60 percent of the time in their Friday showdown. This data makes Milwaukee worth the play at the short price. The Brewers are 6-2 in their past eight home games against right-handed starters and have won four consecutive home starts by Junior Guerra.

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SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (128-99 in last 227 MLB picks)