Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Friday, July 20, 2018, 7:07 pm ET


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My numbers have the Blue Jays toppling the Orioles in 65 percent of simulations for their Friday matchup, making Toronto worth the price as a moderate home chalk. The Blue Jays have won four straight when starter Sam Gaviglio pitches on full rest, and are 5-1 in their past six Friday games. The Orioles are 1-10 when Dylan Bundy takes the mound against AL East opponents.

SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (113-76 in last 189 MLB picks)

Starting pitcher Tyler Mahle #30 of the Cincinnati Reds pitches against the Cleveland Indians during the first inning at Progressive Field on July 11, 2018 in Cleveland, Ohio.

Tyler Mahle (Photo Credit: Ron Schwane/Getty Images)

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Friday, July 20, 2018, 7:10 pm ET


My numbers see the surging Reds beating the Pirates in two-thirds of simulations for their Friday meeting, offering a strong value on Cincinnati at a pick’em price. The Reds have won four straight starts by Tyler Mahle against losing teams and have won four consecutive series openers. The Pirates are 1-4 in their past five road games.

SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (113-76 in last 189 MLB picks)

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Friday, July 20, 2018, 8:15 pm ET

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Danny Duffy has been a disaster at home, posting a 6.75 ERA while allowing a .291 batting average and eight homers in 37.1 innings. He’s facing a Twins team that’s won nine of 11 overall. Kyle Gibson thrives on the road, holding batters to a .197 average. Lay it.

SportsLine Expert: Larry Hartstein (74-57 in last 131 MLB ML picks)

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Mark Canha #20 of the Oakland Athletics singles in two runs in the eighth inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on July 12, 2018 in Houston, Texas.

Mark Canha (Photo Credit: Bob Levey/Getty Images)

San Francisco Giants vs. Oakland Athletics
Friday, July 20, 2018, 9:35 pm ET


When this Bay Area rivalry renews Friday, I’m seeing the Giants and Athletics plating eight runs or fewer to send this game Under the posted total. The Under is on an 8-1 run for the Giants in road games, while the Athletics are on a 3-0-1 Under run in inter-league contests.

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SportsLine Expert: Stephen Oh (113-76 in last 189 MLB picks)