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Commish’s NFL Draft Breakdown: Quarterbacks

Justin Pawlowski, CBS Tampa
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I just wanted to give a little explanation before I get into my positional breakdown below.  I have 3 categories with each player.

First, I tell you the main reason I would take a player.  This isn’t every reason I would give to take a certain player.  I wanted to narrow it down to one specific reason.

I then tell the main reason for not wanting to draft a player.  Typically with the draft, team’s look for reasons not to draft a player, so I give you at least one with every player mentioned.

Finally, I give you an NFL comparison for each player.  This DOES NOT mean that the player being compared will go on to the exact career that the player they’re being compared to had or is having.  I’m strictly giving examples of players who have a similar skill set as the player in this year’s draft.

Here are my top 10 quarterbacks for the 2012 NFL Draft:

1. Andrew Luck – Stanford
6’4” – 234 lbs – 4.67
Top 5

Why The Commish would take him: Luck has been hyped for two years as a player who will quickly rise to the elite category.  The main reason I’d take Luck is because of his intelligence, work ethic, and drive to be great.

Why The Commish would stay away: It’s very difficult to find many faults with Luck, but my question would be whether he will be able to make players around him better like the elite quarterbacks in the NFL do.

NFL Comparison: Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers

2. Robert Griffin III – Baylor
6’2” – 223 lbs – 4.41
Top 5

Why The Commish would take him: RG3′s athleticism and arm strength would make any offensive mind drool.  He has a unique ability to extend plays, keep his eyes down the field, and find the open receiver.

Why The Commish would stay away: Like Luck, there really aren’t many negatives with Griffin.  I am concerned about what will happen when he starts to get hit a few times.  Sometimes, quarterbacks with the athletic ability that RG3 has tend to start taking off to run any time pressure comes around.  If he fails to learn to keep his eyes down the field, this will stunt his growth.  Also, this puts his durability into question.

NFL Comparison: Michael Vick – Philadelphia Eagles

3. Ryan Tannehill – Texas A&M
6’4” – 221 lbs – 4.62
Top 15

Why The Commish would take him: Tannehill is loaded with athleticism.  While many will talk about Luck and RG3′s athletic ability, Tannehill is just as athletic as both of them.  Tannehill is also still raw in the position, so I’m confident that I can develop him the way a quarterback should be developed and prevent bad habits along the way.

Why The Commish would stay away: The main reason I’d stay away is because Tannehill will end up being over drafted.  Tannehill was a receiver just a couple years ago, so he still has a lot to learn and needs time to develop.  Well, quarterbacks drafted in the top 10 picks aren’t typically given the proper time to develop because of the overwhelming pressure to play the player.

NFL Comparison: Jake Locker – Tennessee Titans

4. Brock Osweiler – Arizona St.
6’7” – 242 lbs – 4.97
2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him: I think it’s pretty obvious that Osweiler’s size is his greatest attribute, but it is athleticism at that size that makes him most intriguing.  A strong arm and quick release help as well.

Why The Commish would stay away: Osweiler only started 15 games at quarterback in college, so his inexperience might lead to a lack in ability to read coverages and blitzes by a defense.

NFL Comparison: Derek Anderson – Carolina Panthers

5. Brandon Weeden – Oklahoma St.
6’4” – 221 lbs – 4.95
2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him: Weeden’s intelligence and accuracy are his best attributes.  He led one of the nation’s top offensive attacks at Oklahoma St, so he knows how to score some points.

Why The Commish would stay away: I can not ignore the fact that Weeden is 28 years old now and will be 29 years old before the season begins.  I would have no room for error in developing him.

NFL Comparison: Andy Daulton – Cincinnati Bengals

6. Kirk Cousins – Michigan St.
6’3” – 214 lbs – 4.93
3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would take him: I like Cousins short to intermediate accuracy.  I’m also a big fan of him as a game manager.  There might not be enough flash from him as an elite starter, but he should stick around for a while as a backup at the least.

Why The Commish would stay away: I’m not a fan for drafting an average quarterback in the top half of the draft.  With Cousins being projected as a 3rd/4th round pick, I’d let another team reach on him and I’ll focus on drafting players with higher ceilings.

NFL Comparison: Matt Flynn – Seattle Seahawks

7. Ryan Lindley – San Diego St.
6’4” – 229 lbs – 4.90
4th/5th Round

Why The Commish would take him: Granted it wasn’t against top competition, Lindley’s 4 years as a starter and 42 consecutive starts are very impressive.  Lindley also possesses a very strong arm.

Why The Commish would stay away: Lindley’s accuracy is all over the place.  No matter where he throws, Lindley tends to be inaccurate.  To be successful in the NFL, you must have some accuracy.

NFL Comparison: Kyle Boller – Oakland Raiders

8. Nick Foles – Arizona
6’5” – 243 lbs – 5.14
4th/5th Round

Why The Commish would take him: As a 3 year starter in the PAC 12, I love the experience Foles possesses.  Foles also has ideal size for an NFL quarterback.

Why The Commish would stay away: Foles doesn’t handle pressure well.  When the pressure gets to him he makes a bad decision.  He also struggles with arm strength.  At his pro day, scouts in attendance said that Foles failed to throw one ball with a tight spiral on it.

NFL Comparison: Matt Leinart – USC

9. BJ Coleman – Chattanooga
6’3” – 233 lbs – 4.95
5th Round

Why The Commish would take him: The raw talent of arm strength and confidence are there, but patience is needed.  If it is understood that Coleman is a developmental project and will need time to develop, his talent could end up being very intriguing.

Why The Commish would stay away: Coleman struggled with some durability concerns last year.  His stats also don’t scream elite talent as he threw just 9 touchdowns to 9 interceptions while playing at Chattanooga.  No offense to Chattanooga, but you are Chattanooga.

NFL Comparison: Pat Devlin – Miami Dolphins

 

10. Russell Wilson – Wisconsin
5’11” – 204 lbs – 4.55
6th Round

Why The Commish would take him: Experience and athleticism are Wilson’s best attributes.  As a back up quarterback, I want someone who knows what to do with the ball and how to protect it.  Once that’s done, then I want that player to be able to try and make something happen.  I think Wilson could do just that.

Why The Commish would stay away: With Wilson, you know you are not getting much more than a backup.  Wilson lacks the size to be a full time starter.  If you’re in the market to draft a potential backup quarterback, then Wilson is your guy.  I typically don’t like doing that.

NFL Comparison: Troy Smith – Pittsburgh Steelers

Don’t forget to mark your calendars for The Commish’s Bud Light Draft Party from Pete and Shorty’s in Pinellas Park and presented by Joebucsfan.com.

Join The Commish weekdays from 12pm to 3pm on 1010 Sports. Listen online at 1010Sports.com or on your mobile phone with the free Radio.com app. Visit The Commish online at CommishOnline.com.

 

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